Super Righteous Player -
Chapter 487 - 28 The Only Ultimate Solution_1
Chapter 487: Chapter 28 The Only Ultimate Solution_1
"You’re talking nonsense!"
Number Eleven couldn’t hold back and said, "Probability doesn’t work that way..."
"—So what?"
But the Savory Wind Goose immediately raised his voice, threatening, "If you choose to vote me out now, it means that there will be a ’head-taking’ murderer on the first night!"
He immediately steered the topic in another direction, no longer dwelling on the previous probability issue.
In light of the updated topic, Savory Wind Goose spoke quickly and confidently, "You still can’t be sure who he is. And tonight, as long as at least two people die, it’s entirely possible for the scenarios ’murderer has met their condition plus one who hasn’t’ and ’three people haven’t met their condition’ to exist.
"Unless it’s the first scenario, and the judgments on the third and fourth days are all correct, you won’t be able to stop the murderer because the possibility of ’I get killed’ will still return on the third night.
"Why can’t the second scenario be stopped? Because by the second day there will already be more than three murderers, which is equivalent to having four people kill on the first day. Civilians can’t defend against this; you can’t be sure the murderers definitely won’t meet their conditions.
"So, it can be understood this way—if more than three people choose to kill tonight, the murderers’ faction is certain to win!"
Savory Wind Goose answered resoundingly, "When I tell you this fact, you are aware of this fact, and you know others are aware of it too. Then it has become common knowledge among us...
"The outcome has already been determined!"
—Time’s up.
His public time speech was perfectly timed.
He calculated the time in his mind, aiming to block others from the opportunity to speak.
Because his nonsense had no logic... but Savory Wind Goose believed his seemingly strong argument could entangle others.
Because Savory Wind Goose finally realized, this wasn’t a "game of deduction."
It was a "game of incitement."
The point wasn’t to find the truth, but to manipulate others to act according to one’s will.
His words were resolute and extremely confident, and he provided a wealth of information.
There were not many who could quickly realize the logical error in his brief speech.
And considering the costs of explanation, unable to clarify with others, one could only choose to cooperate with them... Just like at the beginning of an unstoppable chaotic war, those who realized the truth could only go with the flow.
Not everyone would choose the optimal strategy—and even if everyone chose the optimal strategy, it wouldn’t necessarily be the optimal decision collectively.
After the four minutes of public chat time ended, Savory Wind Goose immediately received a private message.
It wasn’t from Number Eight, Defu, nor from Number Twelve, Andersen.
It was from Number Two—he was the real Idol Wizard.
—He knew the old goose was posing as the Idol Wizard, but that didn’t affect the fact that the two of them could kill together.
They planned to select a target, then kill him one after the other. That way, no matter what, both of them would get a kill; they would do the same the following night.
Next came Number Seven, who also made a similar proposition to the old goose.
While Number Two sent a private message of invitation to the old goose, Number Nine—who had earlier clashed with Defu—ironically also sent Defu a private message, applying to form an alliance.
The only one who realized the old goose was spouting nonsense, Number Eleven, though he was a step behind the others, also caught on—he too sent an alliance proposal to Andersen.
In a flash, peace was over.
"...It’s over."
Annan’s lips curled up.
It no longer mattered who the ultimate "Werewolf King" was. He was bound to emerge.
Yes, Annan could of course see that the game had an optimal solution. That was for everyone to do nothing for three rounds... and thus smoothly reach the ultimate conclusion of "peace."
——just like the "peace" that had always been maintained before.
But this requires "conspiracy".
Just like the "peace" in reality.
So when everyone knows that "maintaining peace is good for everyone", why do wars happen?
The "state of peace" can only be reached when each person believes that all the others will maintain peace.
It’s like two companies not issuing coupons or waging price wars; it’s in the collective best interest, and everyone gets better profits. But if one starts a price war, the other who doesn’t act will definitely die.
——This is precisely what Delicious Wind Goose did.
Once everyone realizes that others might kill or might not kill, they will quickly understand that if they seclude themselves for three rounds, they’re certain to lose. Without using abilities, there’s no way to stop the killers; and using abilities makes one even more likely to get killed.
So the only option is to go out and kill, to get at least two heads.
If all wizards refrain from using abilities and everyone goes out to randomly kill for three rounds—because it’s possible that the Werewolf King might get killed, the wizard who gets one head must continue the offense, trying to get two heads instead of playing defensively after gaining one.
After "peace" is broken and when everyone has the public knowledge of what would happen if others choose war... everyone will participate in the endless "war".
This foolish strategy, however, would actually be the Nash equilibrium of this war game.
Because for everyone, it is the optimal choice given that other people’s strategies remain unchanged.
Whether others are always peaceful or always waging war, choosing war is never wrong. But these "rights" add up to a catastrophic mistake.
"This is war..."
Annan took a deep breath.
He seemed to smell blood and gunpowder from this ritual.
No wonder...
No wonder this ritual could be established.
At first, he thought this Wizard War game was about the wizards, borrowing power from the Mysterious Lady, especially since the final victor would become a wizard.
But now it seems, it’s probably borrowing power from the "god of war", Red Knight.
Because this ritual has very much touched the core truth of the Red Knight.
The Red Knight will surely give a very generous reward to this ritual.
"There’s no need to watch anymore."
Annan sighed lightly and turned off the live broadcast.
The outcome was already determined.
Unless they were very unlucky and died on the second or third night... they had already won.
When everyone is dragged down, "surviving the war" becomes just a game of luck.
"If this ritual was really conceived by Eck Shattered, then he must be a genius."
Longjing Tea was very sharp.
Defu’s reaction was also swift.
And... though Delicious Wind Goose was stunned for a moment, he quickly adjusted back to form.
He did not disappoint Annan.
Annan’s lips curved slightly upward.
The players, they’ve finally started to grow.
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